Industry Standard ยท v2.0

The Benchmark for
Construction Escalation
Hedging.

CEH Standard defines the methodology, data inputs, and calculation framework for pricing construction cost escalation risk. Used by developers, lenders, and capital markets participants nationwide.

48
Markets Covered
U.S. metro areas
2M+
Data Points
Historical inputs
12
Asset Classes
Construction types
Monthly
Updated
Rolling index

Overview

Why a Standard
Was Needed

Construction cost escalation is one of the largest unhedged risks in real estate development. Material costs, labor rates, supply chain shocks, and regional inflation create unpredictable exposure from groundbreaking through TCO.

Until CEH Standard, there was no agreed-upon methodology for quantifying, pricing, or hedging this risk. Lenders and developers were using inconsistent assumptions โ€” often leading to blown budgets and disputes at draw.

CEH Standard provides the shared language that capital markets needed: a transparent, auditable, and regularly updated benchmark for construction escalation risk.

23%
Average cost overrun on U.S. construction projects
67%
Of developers report escalation as top budget risk
$0
Of that risk was formally hedged before CEH Standard

Methodology

How the Standard Works

A four-factor model built on public and proprietary data sources, updated monthly.

01

Materials Price Index

Tracks 200+ construction materials via BLS PPI data, supplier invoices, and commodity futures. Weighted by asset class and regional procurement patterns.

SteelConcreteLumberMEP
02

Labor Rate Escalation

Union and non-union wage data aggregated from 48 metro areas. Adjusted for prevailing wage requirements, trade-specific supply constraints, and overtime premiums.

Union RatesNon-UnionTrade Data
03

Supply Chain Risk Factor

Quantifies lead time volatility, import dependency, and substitution risk for critical path materials. Updated weekly via supplier network data.

Lead TimesImport RiskSubstitution
04

Regional Inflation Overlay

CPI and PPI regional variants applied at MSA level. Captures local permit activity, contractor capacity, and competitive bidding conditions.

MSA LevelCPI/PPIBid Environment

Use Cases

Who Uses CEH Standard

๐Ÿ—๏ธ

Developers

Lock in escalation assumptions at project underwriting. Avoid budget disputes with lenders by referencing the Standard as a neutral benchmark.

Underwriting assumptions
GMP negotiations
Draw dispute resolution
๐Ÿฆ

Construction Lenders

Require borrowers to reference CEH Standard in loan docs. Establish clear escalation reserves and trigger conditions tied to the index.

Loan documentation
Contingency sizing
Reserve triggers
๐Ÿ“ˆ

Capital Markets

Price construction risk into CMBS, CLO, and preferred equity structures. CEH-referenced instruments allow apples-to-apples risk comparison.

CMBS structuring
Risk pricing
Portfolio analytics

Access

Request Access

CEH Standard is available to qualified developers, lenders, and institutional capital participants. Contact us to discuss licensing and data access.

Standard License
Monthly index data + methodology documentation. Ideal for developers and project lenders.
Contact for pricing
Enterprise License
Full API access, historical data, custom asset class overlays. For capital markets and portfolio lenders.
Contact for pricing
Get in Touch